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- About the Author: Rob Trader – Forex Expert http://tradingtoollist.co.cc/ Article Source

S&P 500

One week ago we suggested that the market will sell off on Friday due to traders and investors not holding their positions over the weekend. We are currently holding this belief going into this Friday – either the market sells off or trades flat. The rally of the markets today due to strong earnings pushed the dollar lower against the euro as traders took more risk.

During a testimony between Ben Bernanke and the House Financial Services Committee, the Fed Reserve Chairman spoke about further stimulus actions. Looking at the Asia markets China is expected to slowdown and Japan was downgraded by Credit Suisse.

We only rallied to about the same level as last week on the 5 minute chart of the S&P 500 as traders relieved their positions last Friday and bought up their shorts this week.

TO BE CONTINUED WITH CHARTS AND VIDEOS HERE!

Disclaimer

The content in this website is provided for educational and informational purposes only. We offer no investment advice and nothing in this material should be construed as such. There is risk of loss when you invest; past performance is never a guarantee of future performance. Trading is the sole responsibility of the individual. No reader should act on the basis of any matter contained herein without getting appropriate professional advice. Every investor or trader should consider all offerings of products and services on their own merits and for suitability to the individual’s personal needs and circumstances.

All Right Reserved TraderMongers.com © 2010

- About the Author: Shamim Ziyaaudhin is one of the editors of TraderMongers.com a one stop trading news feed source for worldwide traders and investors. Their philosophy is to establish the standard for providing market news feed that is comprehensive, accurate, and concise. Providing technical and fundamental trading setups, economic numbers, and calendar events throughout the trading day. Shamim has a Masters in Business Administration from Fairleigh Dickinson University and holds a degree in Psychology from Rutgers University. Click here to subscribe to Tradermongers Live News Feed Article Source

By all accounts the month of July has been very positive for the major stock market indexes. The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:DIA) is now higher by more than 7.0 percent from the early July low pivot. This is a sharp advance higher in less than a thirty day period for the markets. The big question that most traders and investors are now asking is, how much upside is left in the tank?

July is an earnings reporting period for most companies; thus far the results have been mixed. In the beginning of the month the street reacted poorly to most earnings releases despite the numbers or guidance reported. Alcoa (NYSE:AA), and Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC) both sold off after reporting better than expected earnings. Recently the street has been reacting better to earnings and economic news. Even companies such as International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM) has bounced back after initially getting pummeled after reporting earnings. You can almost feel the mood of the market changing its mind on a daily basis. It is important to note that the Dow Jones Industrial Average has staged four major reversal days since July 16th. This is a very rare event and shows the amount of uncertainty that is still in the marketplace.

The driving force in this market is not earnings or the economic news. Nor is it the Federal Reserve Bank talking of the next remedy they have in the medicine chest. It will not be the European bank’s stress tests; it will not be any of these so called major events. It will be and has been one thing since 2008; it is the movement and action in the U.S. Dollar. When the dollar declines the markets inflate. When the dollar rallies the stocks markets around the world deflate. Personally, I believe it is that simple. Sometimes the stock markets will trade inverse to the dollar on a tick for tick basis. Other times the market will react inversely to the dollar on a daily basis. The end result is that the U.S. Dollar Index has dropped around 7.0 percent since the June high. It is rather ironic that the stock market is higher by 7.0 percent since the early July lows. It is all about the U.S. Dollar Index. The bottom line is when the dollar falls the stock market inflates.

Nicholas SantiagoChief Market Strategistwww.InTheMoneyStocks.com

- About the Author: Nicholas Santiago started trading in 1991. In 1997, he became a licensed Series 7 and 63 registered representative. He managed money for a large, affluent private client group. After applying his knowledge to his client base, he decided it was time to begin teaching those interested in learning his methods. He is an expert in Technical Analysis. He has become an accomplished technician in the studies of Elliot Wave, Gann Theory, Dow Theory and Cycle Theory. In 2007, he partnered with Gareth Soloway to form InTheMoneyStocks.Com and realize his dream of educating others about the truth of the markets. Article Source

Understanding the direction of the market as well as the economic activity will lead to profitable trades. Keep up with our live news feed with TraderMongers.com!

S&P 500

The market previously rallied up for the past week in anticipation for Friday’s quadruple witching day. Sideways trading occurred as expiration of contracts for all stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures took place.

This Wednesday on June 23rd we have the FOMC meeting, which will give us a direction on where interest rates will be heading. With jobless claims still high and the economy still recovering expect the interest rates to be kept the same however watch for any indication in the wording once the FOMC announcement is made.

Currently, ‘shadow inflation’ has been on the rise as airlines are adding additional subcharges, telecommunications are increasing pricing, and banks are adding additional fees for maintaining accounts. This type of inflation will erode potential recovery and consumer savings.

Looking at the technical level on the 5 minute chart for the S&P 500 Index, we are currently below the January 2010 resistance level which starts at the 1125 level. Breaking this level could mean a huge push upwards as investors and traders return into the markets. However summer has already started so be cautious of low volume trading days ahead and expect days with quick rallies followed quick falls.

On the daily chart of the S&P 500, we are between the 144 and 200 day moving averages of 1110 and 1087. Do not expect any major movements unless we break out of this trading range.

-         If we break above 1110 then expect the January 2010 resistance levels starting a 1125 to hold back the market during these low volume summer months.

-         If we break below 1087 then be wary of picking bottoms in the market as we may be expect to go even lower due to the slow down in manufacturing, increasing jobless claims, the European debt crisis, and the fears of another ‘flash crash’

The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Market Volatility Index (VIX) measures options activity within the market and is widely used tracking the S&P 500. A common trading strategy for traders and investors includes a VIX level of 30 or above means an immediate switch from equities to cash. Traders and investors are retreating from the markets and finding safety and protection within the Treasuries, gold, and the dollar.

The Market Volatility Index is currently below 30, which usually means that traders and investors are switching from cash to riskier assets such as equities and other financial instruments. If the volatility breaks through the 25 level then the markets show an influx of equity purchases. The 25 level is a major level of support for CBOE Market Volatility Index as it is the convergence of the 144 and 200 day moving averages. This index must break down below 25 or bounce above 30 for the markets to show a consistent momentum and direction.

Summary of Major Pivot Levels

1219: S&P 500 52 Week High

Technical Levels Natural Support and Resistance

1125: January 2010 Resistance Level

1100: Natural Support Level

1075: Natural Support Level

Technical Levels 5 Minute Chart

1115: 144 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on 5 Minute Chart

1114: 200 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on 5 Minute Chart

Technical Levels Daily Minute Chart

1110: 144 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on Daily Chart

1087: 200 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on Daily Chart

Monday Economic Calendar

No Economic Numbers Scheduled – Watch European and Asian Markets

3 – Month Bill Auction / 11.30 AM

6 – Month Bill Auction / 11.30 AM

Disclaimer

The content in this website is provided for educational and informational purposes only. We offer no investment advice and nothing in this material should be construed as such. There is risk of loss when you invest; past performance is never a guarantee of future performance. Trading is the sole responsibility of the individual. No reader should act on the basis of any matter contained herein without getting appropriate professional advice. Every investor or trader should consider all offerings of products and services on their own merits and for suitability to the individual’s personal needs and circumstances.

- About the Author: Shamim Ziyaaudhin is one of the editors of TraderMongers.com a one stop trading news feed source for worldwide traders and investors. Their philosophy is to establish the standard for providing market news feed that is comprehensive, accurate, and concise. Providing technical and fundamental trading setups, economic numbers, and calendar events throughout the trading day. Shamim has a Masters in Business Administration from Fairleigh Dickinson University and holds a degree in Psychology from Rutgers University. Click here to subscribe to Tradermongers E- News Article Source

Understanding the direction of the market as well as the economic activity will lead to profitable trades. Keep up with our live news feed with TraderMongers.com!

S&P 500

Fears of the European debt crisis continues to mount however many traders and investors believe that the US will recover at a much faster pace. Ben Bernanke will be testifying tomorrow before the Committee on the Budget, US House of Representatives however today he mentioned to be ‘cautious on the US recovery.’ The Beige Book will be released tomorrow however many believe that the FOMC will keep interest rates low for a while. The dollar lost ground to the euro due to purchases of equities that rallied the market.

We rallied above yesterday’s 144 day moving average on the 5 minute chart at 1058 so we expect to finish above this level. The S&P 500 took a breather today after two days of declines and rallied near the 200 day moving average of 1062 on the 5 minute. Expect the markets to be in a narrow trading range within these low volume trading months.

We expected the markets will be in a tight trading range between 1075 and 1100 however the lower the indices trend the trading range decreases has well. We now expect to be within a trading range between 1025 and 1075

On Thursday the 1071 level and 1075 will provide adequate resistance levels while the 1050 will provide a natural support level for the S&P 500. The 1071 was Tuesday’s previous high and the 1075 is the natural resistance level.

On Tuesday we had a retracement to the 1050 area which we reached in early February. This second attempt could break this area due to the low volume trading during the summer months as well as the issues facing Europe sovereign debt and the BP oil crisis. However we broke through the 1050 level only to rally at the end of the day to 1062.

We are trading below the 200 day moving average on the daily chart (1085) so expect any positive news to be a temporary rally as the volume dries up as me move along towards August – the slowest trading month.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Market Volatility index (VIX) measures options activity within the market and is widely used tracking the S&P 500. A common trading strategy for traders and investors includes a VIX level of 30 or above means an immediate switch from equities to cash. Traders and investors are retreating from the markets and finding safety and protection within the Treasuries, gold, and the dollar.

As long as we stay above this level expect pessimism as we approach the slow summer months. Currently the VIX is above the 144 and 200 day moving averages on the daily chart. The volatility index is above 30.00 as of so traders and investors may maintain their short positions and retreat to safer assets.

However due to the low volume in the recent rally and liquidation of mutual fund investors due to frightening instances such as the ‘flash crash,’ European debt crisis and BP Oil Spill expect volatility will return and traders will prey and make money on both ends. Traders will buy when investors are fearful and sell when they are euphoric and confident.

Summary of Pivot and Technical Levels

1219: S&P 500 52 Week High

1111: 144 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on Daily Chart

1100: Natural Resistance Level

1090: Important Pivot Level

1085: 200 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on Daily Chart

1075: Natural Resistance Level

1063: 200 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on 5 Minute Chart

1058: 144 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on 5 Minute Chart

1050: Natural Support Level

Wednesday Economic Calendar

Mortgage Applications / 7.00 EST

Wholesale Trade / 10.00 EST

Petroleum Report / 10.30 EST

Beige Book / 2.00 EST

Ben Bernanke Speaking / 10.00 EST and 16.00 EST

Disclaimer

The content in this website is provided for educational and informational purposes only. We offer no investment advice and nothing in this material should be construed as such. There is risk of loss when you invest; past performance is never a guarantee of future performance. Trading is the sole responsibility of the individual. No reader should act on the basis of any matter contained herein without getting appropriate professional advice. Every investor or trader should consider all offerings of products and services on their own merits and for suitability to the individual’s personal needs and circumstances.

- About the Author: Shamim Ziyaaudhin is one of the editors of TraderMongers.com a one stop trading news feed source for worldwide traders and investors. Their philosophy is to establish the standard for providing market news feed that is comprehensive, accurate, and concise. Providing technical and fundamental trading setups, economic numbers, and calendar events throughout the trading day. Shamim has a Masters in Business Administration from Fairleigh Dickinson University and holds a degree in Psychology from Rutgers University. Click here to subscribe to Tradermongers E- News Article Source

Understanding the direction of the market as well as the economic activity will lead you to profitable trades. Keep up with our live news feed and the trend with Tradermongers.com!

S&P 500 Pivots

On Thursday the US equity indexes continued it’s May sell off philosophy. All the major indexes were down for the day amplified by the European debt crisis, the oil-spill in the Gulf, and the recent 1000 point crash in the Dow Industrials. After a three day sell off there could be a possible rally due to options expirations tomorrow as well as traders and investors getting out of their short positions prior to the weekend.

The S&P 500 index on the 5 minute chart fell for the third straight session trading below the 144 and 200 day moving averages. The 200 day moving average converge with Wednesday’s previous low at 1101 so expect resistance between 1100 and 1101 going into Friday’s trading day. Commodities are weaker due to the events listed above as well as a possible slowdown in China will drain global growth. Today jobless claims were released and a jump from 25k to 471k didn’t encourage the US equity markets.

Currently the index is below the 200 day moving average on the daily chart. We have told our readers before the S&P 500 is currently undergoing a correction. On the daily chart of the index is currently trading below the January 2010 resistance level of 1121. The first resistance level is 1100 and 1101. Expect the S&P 500 to find resistance breaking the second resistance level between 1117 and 1120 area as it is below the January 2010 pivot level of 1121. We had a three day sell off in equities as we approach Friday’s trading day. Tomorrow expect a mini rally due to options expiration.

The market volatility index (VIX) measures option activity within the market and is widely used tracking the S&P 500. Increasing volatility implies pessimism within the market and stocks sell off as traders and investors are seeking protection for their assets instead of risks.

A common trading strategy for traders and investors includes a VIX level of 30 or above means an immediate switch from equities to cash. Traders and investors are retreating from the markets and finding safety and protection within the dollar. Currently the VIX is above the 144 and 200 day moving averages on the daily chart. As long as we stay above this level expect pessimism as we approach the slow summer months.

Summary of Pivot and Technical Levels:

1219: S&P 500 52 Week High

1101: 200 day Fibonacci moving average on 5 minute chart

1100: Natural Resistance Level

1096: 144 day Fibonacci moving average on 5 minute chart

1127 – 1141: Major resistance level for the S&P for January 2010

1117: 144 day Fibonacci moving average on daily chart

1085: 200 day Fibonacci moving average on daily chart

Friday Economic Calendar:

No Economic Numbers Scheduled

Disclaimer

The content in this website is provided for educational and informational purposes only. We offer no investment advice, and nothing in this material should be construed as such. There is a risk of loss when you invest; past performance is never a guarantee of future performance. Trading is the sole responsibility of the individual. No reader should act on the basis of any matter contained herein without getting appropriate professional advice. Every investor or trader should consider all advice and all offerings of products and services on their own merits and for suitability to the individual’s personal needs and circumstances.

All Right Reserved TraderMongers.com © 2010

- About the Author: Shamim Ziyaaudhin is one of the editors of TraderMongers.com a one stop trading news feed source for worldwide traders and investors. Their philosophy is to establish the standard for providing market news feed that is comprehensive, accurate, and concise. Providing technical and fundamental trading setups, economic numbers, and calendar events throughout the trading day. Shamim has a Masters in Business Administration from Fairleigh Dickinson University and holds a degree in Psychology from Rutgers University. Click here to subscribe to Tradermongers E- News Article Source

Understanding the direction of the market as well as the economic activity will lead you to profitable trades. Keep up with our live news feed and the trend with Tradermongers.com!

S&P 500 Pivots

We have mentioned previously, uncertainty with further regulatory agencies could cool down Wall Street as the result of Goldman Sachs probe. The market is most likely to be weak after the April 15th tax deadline. All the major indexes fell below their natural support levels. Dow Industrials finished off below 11,000, Nasdaq is below 2500, and the S&P 500 is down to 1174 regardless of the positive earnings reported on Tuesday, May 4th.

The S&P 500 broke through three previous lows within the last three days as well as the natural support of 1200. The index paused near the 55 Fibonacci moving average on the 5 minute chart.

Euro traded below $1.30 for the first time since April 2009 due to long term concerns over the Eurozone sovereign debt. The US dollar soared as investors and traders rushed to safety out of the markets. This event is pushing the possibility of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates faster than its European counterparts.

European markets suffering due to various weak countries such as Greece, Portugal, and Spain have also played their part today within bringing a weak global economy. As we approach the seasonal trading strategy of ‘Sell in May and go away’ we expect the market to have a correction or consolidate around the 1200 level before finding direction.

Looking at the market volatility index which has been trending lower since October of 2008 and recently reached a 52 week low of 15.23 – on Monday the index is approaching the 144 and 200 moving averages on the daily chart. The market may be looking to sell off due to the uncertainty of the Goldman Sachs probe leading the way for new financial regulations in the near future as well as the crisis with the European markets. On Tuesday market volatility is currently above the 144 and 200 moving averages on the daily chart and will most like begin to trend higher.

Summary of Pivot Levels:

1219: S&P 500 52 Week High

1208: Friday’s Previous Low

1200: Natural support level

1199: 144 and 200 Moving Averages

1193: Last Thursday’s Previous Low and

55 Fibonacci MA on Daily Chart

Wednesday economic calendar includes: mortgage applications, crude oil report, and ISM Non-manufacturing index.

Disclaimer

The content in this website is provided for educational and informational purposes only. We offer no investment advice, and nothing in this material should be construed as such. There is a risk of loss when you invest; past performance is never a guarantee of future performance. Trading is the sole responsibility of the individual. No reader should act on the basis of any matter contained herein without getting appropriate professional advice. Every investor or trader should consider all advice and all offerings of products and services on their own merits and for suitability to the individual’s personal needs and circumstances.

All Right Reserved TraderMongers.com © 2010

- About the Author: Shamim Ziyaaudhin is one of the editors of TraderMongers.com a one stop trading news feed source for worldwide traders and investors. Their philosophy is to establish the standard for providing market news feed that is comprehensive, accurate, and concise. Providing technical and fundamental trading setups, economic numbers, and calendar events throughout the trading day. Shamim has a Masters in Business Administration from Fairleigh Dickinson University and holds a degree in Psychology from Rutgers University. Click here to subscribe to Tradermongers E- News Article Source

Understanding economic activity as well as the direction of the market will lead you to profitable trades. Keep up with our live news feed – Sign up at TraderMongers.com

S&P 500 Pivots

Another positive day for the S&P 500, the Nasdaq, and the Dow as they all traded into positive terrority on the day after of the FOMC announcement. Currently all the major indexes are broke through their natural resistance levels: Dow 11,000. Nasdaq 2500, and S&P 500 1200.

After strong economic earnings and jobless claims falling to 448,000 pushed the indexes higher. The S&P 500 Index is still below Wednesday’s previous high of 1211. Breaking this level would represent a significant upward dash to the 52 week high of 1220.

Friday is the last day in April so expect some end of the month activity with various economic numbers expect. GDP numbers will give us the momentum of the market going into the first quarter of 2010. The market is mostly likely to be weak after the April 15th tax deadline. Since the S&P 500 is back below the natural support level of 1200 – the daily chart may indicate the beginnings of a trend change as we reach the ‘Sell in May’ prophecy. However the daily trend remains quite strong.

The market volatility index fell to 18.44 after nearing the 200 moving average on the daily chart. It reached the 52 week low of 15.23.

Summary of Pivot Levels:

1220: 52 Week High

1211: Wednesday’s Previous High

1203: Friday’s Primary Pivot Level

1200: Natural Support

Disclaimer

The content in this website is provided for educational and informational purposes only. We offer no investment advice, and nothing in this material should be construed as such. There is a risk of loss when you invest; past performance is never a guarantee of future performance. Trading is the sole responsibility of the individual. No reader should act on the basis of any matter contained herein without getting appropriate professional advice. Every investor or trader should consider all advice and all offerings of products and services on their own merits and for suitability to the individual’s personal needs and circumstances.

All Right Reserved TraderMongers.com © 2010

- About the Author: Shamim Ziyaaudhin is one of the editors of TraderMongers.com a one stop trading news feed source for worldwide traders and investors. Their philosophy is to establish the standard for providing market news feed that is comprehensive, accurate, and concise. Providing technical and fundamental trading setups, economic numbers, and calendar events throughout the trading day. Shamim has a Masters in Business Administration from Fairleigh Dickinson University and holds a degree in Psychology from Rutgers University. Click here to subscribe to Tradermongers E- News Article Source