Posts Tagged ‘Economic Reports’
Option Expiration Can Go Either Way: Expect Whipsaw
I love expiration days because most now over look the August monthly CBOE expiration…which is today. It usually has an inter day whipsaw somewhere in it where it looks like hell and then rallies, or the inverse, which is sell off that abruptly rallies like its gonna get even on the day – and then tanks. It is called whipsaw for a reason ( see photo). I would mark your calender if you trade inter day for all monthly expirations…I have some stories about traders and investors getting clipped because they were unaware.
Below are some comments from market watchers….
“We’re not seeing any significant growth prospects,” said Peter Costa, president of Empire Executions. “Why be in the market if there’s no (near-term) prospects for growth?”
Oil prices extended their slide on worries that future demand will wane if economic growth remains tepid. Energy stocks were among the worst performers on the day, including oil companies Chevron Corp. and ConocoPhillips. Overseas markets also fell, reacting to reports Thursday that initial claims for unemployment benefits in the U.S. rose last week and manufacturing in the Mid-Atlantic region shrank. “We’re probably on a continuation from yesterday’s disturbing claims number,” said Paul Zemsky, head of asset allocation at ING Investment Management. “There’s really nothing to hang your hat on.” Earlier this year, traders were worried Europe’s economy would slow down so much that it would put a drag on a global recovery. Now, economic reports are making investors worry that the U.S. economy will slow worldwide growth.
In afternoon trading, the Dow fell 89.80, or 0.9 percent, to 10,181.41. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index fell 7.89, or 0.7 percent, to 1,067.74, while the Nasdaq composite index fell 9.52, or 0.4 percent, to 2,169.43. About three stocks fell for every one that rose on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 633.5 million shares. Volume has been exceptionally low in recent weeks, which has added volatility to the market. But many stock options are expiring Friday, which could be providing a lift to volume.
Data has shown in recent months that private employers are largely skittish about hiring new workers because they are unsure how strong business will be in the coming quarters. That, in turn, has people worried about their jobs and spending less. But until spending picks up, unemployment could remain high. Mark Luschini, chief market strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott, said companies are also reluctant to hire because of worries about taxes and government programs like the health care reform passed earlier this year. “The uncertainty that exists on regulatory and income taxes has (employers) in stall mode,” Luschini said. Companies are worried about whether higher taxes and costs associated to regulation reform will impact profit margins and cause shoppers to reduce spending if they are paying more taxes, Luschini said. The unemployment rate remains at 9.5 percent and analysts widely agree it needs to fall to lead to a stronger rebound.
In corporate news, Dell Inc. reported a better-than-expected profit Thursday, due largely to increased technology spending by businesses. However, sales in its consumer personal computer division were flat compared with the same quarter last year — further evidence that shoppers are hesitant to buy new goods. Hewlett-Packard Co. reported quarterly results that were in line with preliminary results it released earlier in the month. Its profit rose 6 percent. Unlike Dell, it had growth in its personal computer sales. HP fell $1.07, or 2.6 percent, to $39.69. Dell shares fell 5 cents to $11.99.
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Market Slides in Mid August Swoon
Stocks tumbled Thursday after two disappointing economic reports renewed investors’ concerns about the pace of a recovery. The Dow Jones industrial average fell about 165 points in afternoon trading. Broader indexes also fell by more than 1.5 percent. Interest rates also fell sharply as investors flocked to the safety of Treasury bonds.
The Labor Department said claims for unemployment benefits rose unexpectedly last week and the Federal Reserve of Philadelphia said manufacturing activity in the mid-Atlantic region has dropped during August.“The Philly Fed number was just awful,” said Randy Frederick, director of trading and derivatives at Charles Schwab. “The jobs number was bad, but not as far off the mark as the Philly number.”The pair of economic reports followed news that Intel Corp. was acquiring McAfee Inc. The deal, valued at $7.68 billion, was not enough to offset the weaker economic readings.
The reports are the latest in a months-long string of conflicting readings on the economy. The reports have shown the pace of a rebound is slowing and that companies are skittish about adding new workers. That has hurt stocks on some days in recent weeks. It has also stoked fears about the economy falling back into recession.At the same time, corporate announcements, including earnings reports for the past six weeks, have largely showed companies are doing well. Mergers and acquisitions activity is often considered a positive sign because it means companies are willing to spend money to expand their businesses and are confident that prospects are improving.
In afternoon trading, the Dow fell 165.90, or 1.6 percent, to 10,249.64. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index fell 20.12, or 1.8 percent, to 1,074.04, while the Nasdaq composite index fell 38.84, or 1.8 percent, to 2,176.86.About six stocks fell for every one that rose on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 484.6 million shares.
Volume has been particularly light in recent weeks, even by summer standards, meaning many investors are still uncertain about the direction of the economy.Joe Benanti, managing director at Rosenblatt Securities, said low volume is probably adding to the sell-off.It’s “probably taking trading a little to an extreme, more than it should,” Benanti said about the light trading volume.If economic reports over the coming months continues to show the economy is growing, even slowly, it could alleviate fears of a second recession. That, in turn, could bring many investors back into the stock market.
For more information visit http://www.worldmarketmedia.com/779/section.aspx/2263/post/market-slides-in-mid-august-swoon
- About the Author: WorldMarketMedia.com (The Global Online Investment Community) is a high traffic stock market, news data website providing cutting edge new media products and services to publicly traded companies worldwide. Our Editor’s Desk authors insightful real-time coverage on the economy, the capital markets and their listed companies. Article Source
Market Trading Lower after GDP
Summer Friday and GDP is slighly worse than expected and the economy grew slower, thats not really a shocker, as we digst earnings. Lets face it Q3 can be a bore and all we really wait for is the Football Season and hope to avoid a market sell off in October. On this Friday the best thing to do is head to weekend thinking and avoid closing on the lows for the day.
(AP) — Stocks fell and interest rates rose in the Treasury market Friday after the government said the economy grew at a slower pace than expected during the second quarter. The Commerce Department said the gross domestic product, the broadest measure of the economy, grew at an annual pace of 2.4 percent from April to June. That’s less than the 2.5 percent economists polled by Thomson Reuters had forecast.
The Dow Jones industrial average tumbled 106 points in early morning trading.
The report confirmed investors’ belief that the recovery is weakening as unemployment remains high and government stimulus programs end. Consumers cut back on their spending because of job worries and companies spent less to rebuild inventories.
The figure was especially discouraging after the government revised first-quarter growth to a pace of 3.7 percent from 2.7 percent.
The Dow Jones industrial average entered the last day of July up 7.1 percent for the month. The market‘s big gains have come on strong corporate earnings and profit forecasts that conflict with economic reports that point to a slowdown.
In the past few days, however, investors have been more focused on economic reports. Disappointing numbers on housing and unemployment and cautious words from the Federal Reserve have sent stocks lower.
In early morning trading, the Dow Jones industrial average fell 105.96, or 1 percent, to 10,361.20. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index dropped 11.88, or 1.1 percent, to 1,089.65, while the Nasdaq composite index fell 28.50, or 1.3 percent, to 2,223.19.
The disappointing GDP report sent investors into the safety of the Treasury market, which drove interest rates lower. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 2.93 percent from 2.99 percent late Thursday. Its yield is used to set rates on mortgages and other consumer loans.
European markets fell after reports that Spain’s credit rating is likely to be cut by Moody’s Investors Service. The potential downgrade comes as the country’s unemployment rate jumped to a 13-year high of 20.09 percent and the government continues to grapple with rising debt problems.
Losses also accelerated in Europe after the weak GDP report.
Spain’s IBEX 35 fell 2 percent. Britain’s FTSE 100 fell 0.8 percent, Germany’s DAX index dropped 0.8 percent, and France’s CAC-40 fell 0.8 percent. Japan’s Nikkei stock average fell 1.6 percent.
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- About the Author: WorldMarketMedia.com (The Global Online Investment Community) is a high traffic stock market, news data website providing cutting edge new media products and services to publicly traded companies worldwide. Our Editor’s Desk authors insightful real-time coverage on the economy, the capital markets and their listed companies. Article Source
Morning Call: Global stocks gain on increased economic optimism
- Global stocks are higher with the European Euro Stoxx 50 Index up +1.01% and Sep S&Ps up +1.30 points. The dollar is little changed, Treasuries are stronger and commodities are mixed. European bank stocks gained, led by a 8% surge in Banco Santander SA, after Spain’s biggest lender said its outlook is “brilliant” and that is can benefit from rivals’ “weakness” in mature markets. Novartis gained 3.4% after winning a US regulatory advisory panel’s backing to introduce the first pill to treat multiple sclerosis with its drug Gilenia. Continental AG rose 3.8% after Europe’s second-biggest tire maker was raised to “buy” from “hold” at Deutsche Bank AG, while BP gained 8.7% as it snapped 4 days of declines that saw its stock tumble to a 13 year low, after the WSJ reported the company is considering cutting or deferring its Q2 dividend payment. Also boosting European stocks today was the action by the Bundesbank to raise its g rowth forecasts for Germany, as it now predicts GDP growth of 1.9% this year and 1.4% in 2011, higher than a Dec prediction of 1.6% growth in 2010 and 1.2% for 2011 as the economy profits from a pick-up in global demand.
- The Asian markets today closed higher with Japan up +1.70%, Hong Kong +1.22%, China +0.32%, Taiwan +1.64%, Australia +1.58%, Singapore +0.60%, South Korea +1.62%, India +0.84%. Asian stock markets rallied after several economic reports from China showed its economy continues to strengthen. May China retail sales surged +18.7% y/y and May industrial production climbed 16.5% y/y as the Chinese economy proves resilient so far to the European debt crisis. Computer-related companies closed higher after Acer, the world’s largest vendor of laptop computers, rallied over 3% higher when it reported a 45% jump in May sales and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, the biggest maker of custom chips, said that it’s optimistic about the chip industry and the global economy for the second half of 2010. This adds to bullishness in the technology sector after the Semiconductor Industry Association said that global sales of microchips will rise 28% to $290.5 billion this year, boosted by demand in China and India, compared with a Nov forecast of 10% growth.
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Morning Call: Strong Asian economic data boosts most global stocks
- Global stocks are mostly higher with the European Euro Stoxx 50 Index up +0.57% and June S&Ps up +12.20 points. The dollar and Treasuries are weaker and commodity prices rose after economic reports from Asia show accelerating growth. China’s exports in May jumped by the most in 6 years, while Q1 Japan GDP was unexpectedly revised higher. Daimler AG climbed 4% after forecasting Mercedes-Benz sales will advance at twice the rate of the overall market on demand from China, while Lafarge SA, the world’s biggest cement maker, gained 4.3% after Citigroup recommended buying the shares. Overnight deposits at the ECB rose to a record 369 billion euros ($444 billion) today, the most since the start of the euro currency in 1999, as an increase in counterparty risks prompts European banks to deposit their excess funds with the ECB’s overnight deposit facility rather than lend. As expected, the Bank of England maintained its benchmark interest rate at 0.50% and held its asset purchase target at 200 billion pounds.
- The Asian markets today closed mostly higher with Japan up +1.10%, Hong Kong +0.06%, China -1.15%, Taiwan +1.56%, Australia +1.14%, Singapore +1.23%, South Korea +0.22%, India +1.59%. Japanese stocks closed higher after Japan’s Q1 GDP was unexpectedly revised up to a 5.0% annualized rate from 4.9%, driven by exports and an upward revision to consumer spending (+0.4% q/q from the previously reported +0.3% q/q). In a separate report, May Japan CGPI rose +0.4% y/y, the first increase in producer prices in 17 months, which may ease deflation concerns as an increase in raw-material costs fueled price gains. Aussie stocks closed higher after Australia’s jobless rate declined -0.2 to a 16-month low of 5.2% in May when employers added 26,900 to payrolls, more than market expectations of 20,000. China’s May exports rose +48.5% y/y, the biggest gain in more than six years, which indicates the European debt crisis has yet to slow the world’s fastest-growing major economy. Desp ite the strong export figure, China’s Shanghai Stock Index closed lower after China’s property prices jumped +12.4% y/y in May, the second-fastest pace on record, which raises concern the government will step up tightening measures to cool the property market.
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