Posts Tagged ‘Natural Resistance’
Day Trading Economic News Analysis: S&P 500 June 9, 2010
Understanding the direction of the market as well as the economic activity will lead to profitable trades. Keep up with our live news feed with TraderMongers.com!
S&P 500
Fears of the European debt crisis continues to mount however many traders and investors believe that the US will recover at a much faster pace. Ben Bernanke will be testifying tomorrow before the Committee on the Budget, US House of Representatives however today he mentioned to be ‘cautious on the US recovery.’ The Beige Book will be released tomorrow however many believe that the FOMC will keep interest rates low for a while. The dollar lost ground to the euro due to purchases of equities that rallied the market.
We rallied above yesterday’s 144 day moving average on the 5 minute chart at 1058 so we expect to finish above this level. The S&P 500 took a breather today after two days of declines and rallied near the 200 day moving average of 1062 on the 5 minute. Expect the markets to be in a narrow trading range within these low volume trading months.
We expected the markets will be in a tight trading range between 1075 and 1100 however the lower the indices trend the trading range decreases has well. We now expect to be within a trading range between 1025 and 1075
On Thursday the 1071 level and 1075 will provide adequate resistance levels while the 1050 will provide a natural support level for the S&P 500. The 1071 was Tuesday’s previous high and the 1075 is the natural resistance level.
On Tuesday we had a retracement to the 1050 area which we reached in early February. This second attempt could break this area due to the low volume trading during the summer months as well as the issues facing Europe sovereign debt and the BP oil crisis. However we broke through the 1050 level only to rally at the end of the day to 1062.
We are trading below the 200 day moving average on the daily chart (1085) so expect any positive news to be a temporary rally as the volume dries up as me move along towards August – the slowest trading month.
The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Market Volatility index (VIX) measures options activity within the market and is widely used tracking the S&P 500. A common trading strategy for traders and investors includes a VIX level of 30 or above means an immediate switch from equities to cash. Traders and investors are retreating from the markets and finding safety and protection within the Treasuries, gold, and the dollar.
As long as we stay above this level expect pessimism as we approach the slow summer months. Currently the VIX is above the 144 and 200 day moving averages on the daily chart. The volatility index is above 30.00 as of so traders and investors may maintain their short positions and retreat to safer assets.
However due to the low volume in the recent rally and liquidation of mutual fund investors due to frightening instances such as the ‘flash crash,’ European debt crisis and BP Oil Spill expect volatility will return and traders will prey and make money on both ends. Traders will buy when investors are fearful and sell when they are euphoric and confident.
Summary of Pivot and Technical Levels
1219: S&P 500 52 Week High
1111: 144 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on Daily Chart
1100: Natural Resistance Level
1090: Important Pivot Level
1085: 200 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on Daily Chart
1075: Natural Resistance Level
1063: 200 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on 5 Minute Chart
1058: 144 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on 5 Minute Chart
1050: Natural Support Level
Wednesday Economic Calendar
Mortgage Applications / 7.00 EST
Wholesale Trade / 10.00 EST
Petroleum Report / 10.30 EST
Beige Book / 2.00 EST
Ben Bernanke Speaking / 10.00 EST and 16.00 EST
Disclaimer
The content in this website is provided for educational and informational purposes only. We offer no investment advice and nothing in this material should be construed as such. There is risk of loss when you invest; past performance is never a guarantee of future performance. Trading is the sole responsibility of the individual. No reader should act on the basis of any matter contained herein without getting appropriate professional advice. Every investor or trader should consider all offerings of products and services on their own merits and for suitability to the individual’s personal needs and circumstances.
- About the Author: Shamim Ziyaaudhin is one of the editors of TraderMongers.com a one stop trading news feed source for worldwide traders and investors. Their philosophy is to establish the standard for providing market news feed that is comprehensive, accurate, and concise. Providing technical and fundamental trading setups, economic numbers, and calendar events throughout the trading day. Shamim has a Masters in Business Administration from Fairleigh Dickinson University and holds a degree in Psychology from Rutgers University. Click here to subscribe to Tradermongers E- News Article Source
Day Trading Economic News Analysis: S&P 500 May 26, 2010
Understanding the direction of the market as well as the economic activity will lead to profitable trades. Keep up with our live news feed with TraderMongers.com!
S&P 500
The European markets are plaguing the markets as their debts will hurt the global financial sectors. On the US front the Federal Reserve banks want to raise the discount rate, which is a sign of confidence of recovery within the economy. However jobless claims are still high so any chance of currently raising interest rates are nil.
The S&P 500 index finished as it did yesterday around the natural support level of 1175. Investors and traders maybe covering their shorts the ‘Volcker Rule’ is slowly becoming a reality which limits high-risk trading near July 4th.
The index met resistance due to Monday’s previous high as well as the convergence of the 144 and 200 day moving averages on the 5 minute chart. The S&P 500 index should be trading below the 1190 Monday’s resistance. An upward breakout could possible push the towards the 1110 area.
Looking at the daily chart of the S&P 500, the index is currently trading below the January 2010 resistance level as well as the 144 and 200 day moving averages. Yesterday we mentioned that the S&P 500 will be range bound between 1175 and 1110 as we head towards the slow summer months. The index traded below this range however rallied and finished near the natural resistance level of 1175.
The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Market Volatility index (VIX) measures options activity within the market and is widely used tracking the S&P 500. Increasing volatility implies pessimism within the market and stocks sell off as traders seek protection for their assets.
A common trading strategy for traders and investors includes a VIX level of 30 or above means an immediate switch from equities to cash. Traders and investors are retreating from the markets and finding safety and protection within the dollar. As long as we stay above this level expect pessimism as we approach the slow summer months. Currently the VIX is above the 144 and 200 day moving averages on the daily chart. The index is also slightly above 30 so unless it is below this level do not expect a confirmed rally or upside within the equities market.
As long as we are below the 1075 level on the S&P 500 and the market volatility is above 30 expect choppy trading with no confirmed rallies. We still expect the market to be range bound between 1075 and 1100.
Summary of Pivot and Technical Levels
1219: S&P 500 52 Week High
1116: 144 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on Daily Chart
1110: Natural Resistance Level
1190: Monday’s Previous High
1086: 144 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on 5 Minute Chart
1085: 200 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on Daily Chart
1175: Natural Support Level
1069: 200 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on 5 Minute Chart
Wednesday Economic Calendar
Mortgage Applications / 7.00 EST
Durable Goods Orders / 8.30 EST
New Home Sales / 10.00 EST
Petroleum Report / 10.30 est
Disclaimer
The content in this website is provided for educational and informational purposes only. We offer no investment advice and nothing in this material should be construed as such. There is risk of loss when you invest; past performance is never a guarantee of future performance. Trading is the sole responsibility of the individual. No reader should act on the basis of any matter contained herein without getting appropriate professional advice. Every investor or trader should consider all offerings of products and services on their own merits and for suitability to the individual’s personal needs and circumstances.
- About the Author: Shamim Ziyaaudhin is one of the editors of TraderMongers.com a one stop trading news feed source for worldwide traders and investors. Their philosophy is to establish the standard for providing market news feed that is comprehensive, accurate, and concise. Providing technical and fundamental trading setups, economic numbers, and calendar events throughout the trading day. Shamim has a Masters in Business Administration from Fairleigh Dickinson University and holds a degree in Psychology from Rutgers University. Click here to subscribe to Tradermongers E- News Article Source
Day Trading Economic News Analysis: S&P 500 May 25, 2010
Understanding the direction of the market as well as the economic activity will lead to profitable trades. Keep up with our live news feed with TraderMongers.com!
S&P 500
Fear overseas is playing apart during today’s trading. Greece debt and the bailout offered are presenting questionable actions on whether the play will help the euro. China’s real estate bubble and the falling price of copper are indicating fears of deflation rising throughout the global economy.
The S&P 500 index finished just below the natural support level of 1175. The index met resistance due to Monday’s previous high as well as the convergence of the 144 and 200 day moving averages on the 5 minute chart. The S&P 500 index should be trading below the 1190 Monday’s resistance. An upward breakout could possible push the towards the 1110 area.
Looking at the daily chart of the S&P 500 index, its still trading below January 2010 resistance level as well as the 144 day moving average of 1117. Expect the market to be range bound between 1175 and 1110 as we head towards the slow summer months.
The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Market Volatility index (VIX) measures options activity within the market and is widely used tracking the S&P 500. Increasing volatility implies pessimism within the market and stocks sell off as traders seek protection for their assets.
A common trading strategy for traders and investors includes a VIX level of 30 or above means an immediate switch from equities to cash. Currently the VIX is above the 144 and 200 day moving averages on the daily chart. Traders and investors are retreating from the markets and finding safety and protection within the dollar. As long as we stay above this level expect pessimism as we approach the slow summer months.
Summary of Pivot and Technical Levels
1219: S&P 500 52 Week High
1117: 144 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on Daily Chart
1110: Natural Resistance Level
1190: Monday’s Previous High
1086: 144 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on 5 Minute Chart
1084: 200 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on 5 Minute Chart
1085: 200 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on Daily Chart
1175: Natural Support Level
Tuesday Economic Calendar
Consumer Confidence / 10.00 EST
Ben Bernanke Speaks / 20.30 EST
Disclaimer
The content in this website is provided for educational and informational purposes only. We offer no investment advice and nothing in this material should be construed as such. There is risk of loss when you invest; past performance is never a guarantee of future performance. Trading is the sole responsibility of the individual. No reader should act on the basis of any matter contained herein without getting appropriate professional advice. Every investor or trader should consider all offerings of products and services on their own merits and for suitability to the individual’s personal needs and circumstances.
- About the Author: Shamim Ziyaaudhin is one of the editors of TraderMongers.com a one stop trading news feed source for worldwide traders and investors. Their philosophy is to establish the standard for providing market news feed that is comprehensive, accurate, and concise. Providing technical and fundamental trading setups, economic numbers, and calendar events throughout the trading day. Shamim has a Masters in Business Administration from Fairleigh Dickinson University and holds a degree in Psychology from Rutgers University. Click here to subscribe to Tradermongers E- News Article Source
Day Trading Economic News Analysis: S&P 500 April 30, 2010
Understanding economic activity as well as the direction of the market will lead you to profitable trades. Keep up with our live news feed – Sign up at TraderMongers.com
S&P 500 Pivots
Another positive day for the S&P 500, the Nasdaq, and the Dow as they all traded into positive terrority on the day after of the FOMC announcement. Currently all the major indexes are broke through their natural resistance levels: Dow 11,000. Nasdaq 2500, and S&P 500 1200.
After strong economic earnings and jobless claims falling to 448,000 pushed the indexes higher. The S&P 500 Index is still below Wednesday’s previous high of 1211. Breaking this level would represent a significant upward dash to the 52 week high of 1220.
Friday is the last day in April so expect some end of the month activity with various economic numbers expect. GDP numbers will give us the momentum of the market going into the first quarter of 2010. The market is mostly likely to be weak after the April 15th tax deadline. Since the S&P 500 is back below the natural support level of 1200 – the daily chart may indicate the beginnings of a trend change as we reach the ‘Sell in May’ prophecy. However the daily trend remains quite strong.
The market volatility index fell to 18.44 after nearing the 200 moving average on the daily chart. It reached the 52 week low of 15.23.
Summary of Pivot Levels:
1220: 52 Week High
1211: Wednesday’s Previous High
1203: Friday’s Primary Pivot Level
1200: Natural Support
Disclaimer
The content in this website is provided for educational and informational purposes only. We offer no investment advice, and nothing in this material should be construed as such. There is a risk of loss when you invest; past performance is never a guarantee of future performance. Trading is the sole responsibility of the individual. No reader should act on the basis of any matter contained herein without getting appropriate professional advice. Every investor or trader should consider all advice and all offerings of products and services on their own merits and for suitability to the individual’s personal needs and circumstances.
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- About the Author: Shamim Ziyaaudhin is one of the editors of TraderMongers.com a one stop trading news feed source for worldwide traders and investors. Their philosophy is to establish the standard for providing market news feed that is comprehensive, accurate, and concise. Providing technical and fundamental trading setups, economic numbers, and calendar events throughout the trading day. Shamim has a Masters in Business Administration from Fairleigh Dickinson University and holds a degree in Psychology from Rutgers University. Click here to subscribe to Tradermongers E- News Article Source
